· Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Sayana Haskovo and 3.00 for Spartak Plovdiv, a combined total of 6.50. That distribution gives Sayana Haskovo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 94% for over 2.5 goals and 91% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Sayana Haskovo to Win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
3.50 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–24.8%
- 3–34.8%
- 4–24.2%
- 4–34.2%
- 2–24.1%
Why the model likes this
Spartak Plovdiv away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sayana Haskovo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 16% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.50 goals for Sayana Haskovo and 3.00 for Spartak Plovdiv, a combined 6.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 94% and both teams to score at 91%, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 5%.
Recent form
Sayana Haskovo
Spartak Plovdiv
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sozopol · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Yambol 1915 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nesebar · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rozova dolina · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodopa Smolyan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Sayana Haskovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletik Kuklen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Plovdiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Levski Krumovgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Maritsa Milevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rozova dolina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Yambol 1915 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sozopol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gigant Saedinenie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Neftochimic Burgas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.