Serrano PE U20 vs Nautico U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Serrano PE U20 and 1.18 for Nautico U20, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Serrano PE U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Serrano PE U20 or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Serrano PE U20 win44%

Draw26%

Nautico U20 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Serrano PE U20 home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nautico U20 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Serrano PE U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Serrano PE U20 and 1.18 for Nautico U20, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Serrano PE U20

2025-10-22T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ipojuca U20 · 1-1 (D)
2025-10-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sport Recife U20 · 0-2 (L)
2025-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Santa Cruz U20 · 1-4 (L)
2025-09-14T20:30:00.000Z · H vs America PE U20 · 1-2 (L)
2024-06-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Jaguar U20 · 1-2 (L)

Nautico U20

2026-01-10T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Itaquá Athletico Clube U20 · 0-1 (L)
2026-01-07T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Juventude-MA U20 · 3-1 (W)
2026-01-04T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Novorizontino U20 · 0-2 (L)
2025-11-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz U20 · 2-0 (W)
2025-11-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sport Recife U20 · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.