· Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
Servette FC vs FC Luzern Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Servette FC and 1.28 for FC Luzern, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Servette FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.
Model pick
Servette FC to Win
54.5% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–16.5%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Servette FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 22% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Servette FC and 1.28 for FC Luzern, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 63%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
Servette FC to Win is the headline pick at 55% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Servette FC
FC Luzern
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Luzern | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.