OmaSp Stadion · Analysis updated 23:45 UTC
SJK Akatemia vs KäPa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.06 for KäPa, a combined total of 1.97. That distribution gives KäPa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
KäPa or Draw
69.3% probability
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.7%
- 0–013.9%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–27.8%
Why the model likes this
KäPa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates KäPa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 31% / 31% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.91 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.06 for KäPa, a combined 1.97 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Recent form
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.