Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Sporting CP and 1.50 for Academico Viseu, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Sporting CP the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Sporting CP to Win

49.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sporting CP win49%

Draw22%

Academico Viseu win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–19.1%
2–19.1%
1–26.8%
2–26.8%
3–16.0%

Why the model likes this

Sporting CP home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Academico Viseu away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sporting CP to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Sporting CP and 1.50 for Academico Viseu, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Sporting CP

2026-08-14T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Vitória SC · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Estrela · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Nottingham Forest · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-25T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Monaco · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-20T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Strasbourg · 7-0 (W)

Academico Viseu

2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Clara · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-09T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Benfica · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Celta Vigo · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lusitânia Lourosa · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting CP B · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Primeira Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	-17	42
9	Guimaraes	34	12	6	16	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	-40	21

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.