Donaustadion · Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
SSV Ulm 1846 vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for SSV Ulm 1846 and 2.06 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn., a combined total of 3.91. That distribution gives Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. or Draw
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 2.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–35.4%
Why the model likes this
SSV Ulm 1846 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 36% / 21% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for SSV Ulm 1846 and 2.06 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn., a combined 3.91 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
SSV Ulm 1846
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter Kickers · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern München II · 3-1 (W)
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Sandhausen · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Trier · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Halle · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - SudWest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | SV Sandhausen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Hessen Kassel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | TSV Steinbach | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | VfR Aalen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | FSV Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | VfR Mannheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Freiburg II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Kaiserslautern II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Eintracht Trier | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.