· Analysis updated 02:23 UTC
Stade Payerne vs Echallens Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.96 expected goals for Stade Payerne and 1.88 for Echallens, a combined total of 3.84. That distribution gives Stade Payerne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Stade Payerne or Draw
62.1% probability
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.9%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.1%
Why the model likes this
Echallens away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stade Payerne to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.96 goals for Stade Payerne and 1.88 for Echallens, a combined 3.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Stade Payerne
Echallens
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Chênois · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Servette II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-22T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bavois · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 5-6 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sion II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Naters | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Echallens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Prishtina Bern | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Meyrin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Portalban / Gletterens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lancy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Monthey | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Servette II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stade Payerne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coffrane | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Lausanne Sport II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Chênois | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Azzurri | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.