· Analysis updated 02:25 UTC
Stonava vs Vratimov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Stonava and 1.34 for Vratimov, a combined total of 3.02. That distribution gives Stonava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Stonava to Win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–06.9%
Why the model likes this
Stonava home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stonava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 24% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Stonava and 1.34 for Vratimov, a combined 3.02 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Stonava
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Kravare · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nový Jičín · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Petřvald na Moravě · 2-0 (W)
Vratimov
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kravare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Pustá Polom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Bospor Bohumín | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Zabreh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Hlučín | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bílovec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Opava II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Valašské Meziříčí | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Frydek-Mistek B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Vratimov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Břidličná | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.