· Analysis updated 00:48 UTC
Täfteå vs IFK Luleå Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Täfteå and 1.58 for IFK Luleå, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Täfteå the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.
Model pick
Täfteå to Win
49.9% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.2%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Täfteå to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 21% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Täfteå and 1.58 for IFK Luleå, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 70%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Täfteå to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Täfteå
IFK Luleå
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Norrland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.