· Analysis updated 04:31 UTC
Thisted FC vs Skive Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Thisted FC and 2.10 for Skive, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Skive the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.
Model pick
Skive to Win
60.3% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–36.9%
Why the model likes this
Thisted FC home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skive to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 19% / 21% / 60% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Thisted FC and 2.10 for Skive, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Thisted FC
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Aabybro · 9-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 2-1 (W)
Skive
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.