Valašské Meziříčí vs Šumperk Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Valašské Meziříčí and 1.51 for Šumperk, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Valašské Meziříčí the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Valašské Meziříčí to Win

45.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.51

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Valašské Meziříčí win45%

Draw23%

Šumperk win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–19.8%
2–18.9%
1–27.4%
2–26.8%
1–06.5%

Why the model likes this

Valašské Meziříčí home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Valašské Meziříčí to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.82 goals for Valašské Meziříčí and 1.51 for Šumperk, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Valašské Meziříčí

2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Uničov · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kravare · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Horni Becva · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-8 (L)

Šumperk

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie F table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Havířov	29	19	2	8	38	59
2	Vratimov	29	17	3	9	15	54
3	Bospor Bohumín	29	15	8	6	28	53
4	Bílovec	29	15	8	6	14	53
5	Stonava	29	14	6	9	10	48
6	Valašské Meziříčí	29	11	8	10	-4	41
7	Zabreh	30	9	12	9	3	39
8	Šumperk	29	9	12	8	-2	39
9	Opava II	30	11	5	14	-3	38
10	Frýdlant	30	9	11	10	-9	38
11	Jiskra Rýmařov	30	11	4	15	-13	37
12	Petřvald na Moravě	29	9	9	11	3	36
13	Nový Jičín	29	8	12	9	-5	36
14	Břidličná	30	7	10	13	-12	31
15	Pustá Polom	29	5	9	15	-23	24
16	Cesky Tesin	29	2	7	20	-41	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.