· Analysis updated 04:59 UTC
Valašské Meziříčí vs Šumperk Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for Valašské Meziříčí and 1.45 for Šumperk, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Šumperk the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Šumperk or Draw
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–17.8%
Why the model likes this
Valašské Meziříčí home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Šumperk to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 34% / 26% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.29 goals for Valašské Meziříčí and 1.45 for Šumperk, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Valašské Meziříčí
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Uničov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kravare · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Horni Becva · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-8 (L)
Šumperk
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kravare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Pustá Polom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Bospor Bohumín | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Zabreh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Hlučín | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bílovec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Opava II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Valašské Meziříčí | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Frydek-Mistek B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Vratimov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Břidličná | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.