Sportclub Arena · Analysis updated 03:51 UTC
Verl II vs Schermbeck Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Verl II and 1.12 for Schermbeck, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Verl II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.
Model pick
Verl II to Win
60.0% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.12
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–08.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 3–16.9%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Verl II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 21% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Verl II and 1.12 for Schermbeck, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 59%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
Verl II to Win is the headline pick at 60% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Verl II
Schermbeck
- 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster II · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Bocholt · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-08T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Kleve · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-31T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Finnentrop / Bamenohl · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-08T15:00:00.000Z · Verl II 1-1 Schermbeck (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2025-09-14T13:00:00.000Z · Verl II 1-1 Schermbeck (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2025-05-25T14:00:00.000Z · Verl II 0-2 Schermbeck (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2024-12-01T13:30:00.000Z · Verl II 1-2 Schermbeck (Oberliga - Westfalen)
Oberliga - Westfalen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Rheine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Preußen Münster II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Maaslingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Vreden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Verl II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sprockhovel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Ennepetal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Erkenschwick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Gievenbeck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | TuS Hordel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Arminia II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Victoria Clarholz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | ASC Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Hiltrup | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lippstadt 08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.