Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Group 1 - 315:30

15:30 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 01:54 UTC

Vevey Sports vs Prishtina Bern Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Vevey Sports and 1.88 for Prishtina Bern, a combined total of 3.31. That distribution gives Prishtina Bern the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Prishtina Bern to Win

48.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Vevey Sports win30%
Draw22%
Prishtina Bern win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–19.8%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 0–16.9%
  • 2–26.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Prishtina Bern away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Prishtina Bern to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 30% / 22% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.43 goals for Vevey Sports and 1.88 for Prishtina Bern, a combined 3.31 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Vevey Sports

    Prishtina Bern

    • 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sion II · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-23T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Biel-Bienne · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys II · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-13T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 4-2 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1La Chaux-de-Fonds220026
    2Sion II211024
    3Naters211014
    4Echallens211014
    5Prishtina Bern211014
    6Meyrin110043
    7Portalban / Gletterens210113
    8Lancy210103
    9Monthey202002
    10Servette II101001
    11Stade Payerne2011-11
    12Coffrane2011-11
    13Lausanne Sport II2011-21
    14Chênois2002-20
    15Azzurri1001-20
    16Vevey Sports1001-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.