· Analysis updated 09:40 UTC
Vevey Sports vs Prishtina Bern Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Vevey Sports and 3.34 for Prishtina Bern, a combined total of 4.39. That distribution gives Prishtina Bern the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Prishtina Bern win
80.5% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 3.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vevey Sports home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Prishtina Bern away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prishtina Bern to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 8% / 11% / 81% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Vevey Sports and 3.34 for Prishtina Bern, a combined 4.39 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
20%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
92%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–38.1%
- 0–37.7%
- 1–27.3%
- 0–26.9%
- 1–46.7%
Recent form
Vevey Sports
- 2026-10-03T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lausanne Sport II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Portalban / Gletterens · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sion II · 1-2 (L)
Prishtina Bern
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Echallens · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Coffrane · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs La Chaux-de-Fonds · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Monthey · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azzurri Bienne | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Prishtina Bern | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 26 |
| 3 | Servette II | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Lausanne Sport II | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Portalban / Gletterens | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Naters | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 17 |
| 7 | Sion II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Monthey | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Chênois | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Lancy | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 13 |
| 12 | Echallens | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Meyrin | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Stade Payerne | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Coffrane | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Prishtina Bern win, at 80.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.