Angers vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.68 expected goals for Angers and 1.91 for Paris Saint Germain, a combined total of 2.59. That distribution gives Paris Saint Germain the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

Paris Saint Germain to Win

66.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.68 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Angers win12%

Draw21%

Paris Saint Germain win67%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

88%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

0–114.4%
0–213.7%
1–19.7%
1–29.3%
0–38.7%

Why the model likes this

Angers home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Paris Saint Germain to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 12% / 21% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.68 goals for Angers and 1.91 for Paris Saint Germain, a combined 2.59 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 42%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Angers

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Paris FC · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lorient · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Mans · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Les Herbiers · 3-1 (W)

Paris Saint Germain

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.