Angers vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Angers and 1.22 for Paris Saint Germain, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Angers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Angers win

46.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Angers win47%

Draw25%

Paris Saint Germain win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–111.5%
1–09.5%
2–19.4%
2–07.7%
0–17.1%

Why the model likes this

Angers home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Paris Saint Germain away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Angers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 25% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Angers and 1.22 for Paris Saint Germain, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Angers

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Paris FC · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lorient · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Mans · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Les Herbiers · 3-1 (W)

Paris Saint Germain

2026-08-16T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Lens · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-12T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Manchester United · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Mallorca · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.