Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast · Southeast - 514:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:04 UTC

Atletik Kuklen vs Sozopol Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Atletik Kuklen and 1.00 for Sozopol, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Atletik Kuklen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Atletik Kuklen to Win

60.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Atletik Kuklen win61%
Draw21%
Sozopol win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–010.0%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 3–06.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Sozopol away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Atletik Kuklen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Atletik Kuklen and 1.00 for Sozopol, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Atletik Kuklen

    Sozopol

    • 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rakovski 2011 · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.