Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast · Southeast - 514:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:02 UTC

Atletik Kuklen vs Sozopol Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Atletik Kuklen and 1.74 for Sozopol, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Sozopol the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Sozopol to Win

54.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.74

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Atletik Kuklen win22%
Draw24%
Sozopol win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 0–111.3%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–06.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Sozopol away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sozopol to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 22% / 24% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Atletik Kuklen and 1.74 for Sozopol, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Atletik Kuklen

    Sozopol

    • 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rakovski 2011 · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Third League - Southeast table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Nesebar3629439491
    2Maritsa Plovdiv3623675075
    3Neftochimic Burgas3619981466
    4Yambol 191536206103166
    5Levski Karlovo36205111165
    6Maritsa Milevo36179103260
    7Spartak Plovdiv3615912654
    8Sozopol36166141254
    9Sayana Haskovo3615714452
    10Zagorets36131013-849
    11Rozova dolina3614616-748
    12Gigant Saedinenie3614517-347
    13Rodopa Smolyan3614418-1946
    14Atletik Kuklen3613320-3542
    15Sekirovo Rakovski369819-2335
    16Dimitrovgrad3610521-4035
    17Lokomotiv Plovdiv II369621-933
    18Rakovski 2011368325-4827
    19Asenovets366525-6223

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.