· Analysis updated 04:38 UTC
Bergisch Gladbach vs Bochum II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Bergisch Gladbach and 1.26 for Bochum II, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Bergisch Gladbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Bergisch Gladbach to Win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bergisch Gladbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Bergisch Gladbach and 1.26 for Bochum II, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Bergisch Gladbach to Win is the headline pick at 51% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Bergisch Gladbach
Bochum II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.