· Analysis updated 04:36 UTC
Bergisch Gladbach vs Bochum II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Bergisch Gladbach and 1.26 for Bochum II, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Bergisch Gladbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Bergisch Gladbach to Win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bergisch Gladbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Bergisch Gladbach and 1.26 for Bochum II, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Bergisch Gladbach to Win is the headline pick at 51% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Bergisch Gladbach
Bochum II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westfalia Rhynern | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Schalke 04 II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Gutersloh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Hilden | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Köln II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Bocholt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bergisch Gladbach | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Paderborn II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Rodinghausen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Bonner SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Bochum II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Wiedenbrück | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.