Norway · Eliteserien · Regular Season - 2217:15
BrannWLWWL

17:15 UTC

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Bodo/GlimtWWWWW

Brann Stadion · Analysis updated 02:44 UTC

Brann vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for Brann and 2.03 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Bodo/Glimt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Bodo/Glimt to Win

54.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.27 – 2.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Brann win24%
Draw21%
Bodo/Glimt win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–29.6%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–36.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Bodo/Glimt away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bodo/Glimt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 24% / 21% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.27 goals for Brann and 2.03 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Brann

    Bodo/Glimt

    • 2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Valerenga · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-3 (D)
    • 2026-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrom · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandefjord · 3-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Eliteserien table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Bodo/Glimt1713223141
    2Viking1713132340
    3Tromso1610421534
    4Lillestrom17827226
    5Molde16736524
    6Rosenborg17737324
    7Brann16718622
    8Sarpsborg 08 FF16646-222
    9Ham-Kam16646-322
    10Valerenga16628-620
    11Fredrikstad16628-1020
    12KFUM Oslo17548-819
    13Sandefjord16439-915
    14Kristiansund BK16439-1115
    15Aalesund16286-1414
    16Start172411-2210

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.