Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Dinamo Tirana and 1.00 for Aluminij, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Dinamo Tirana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Dinamo Tirana or Draw

72.3% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Tirana win45%

Draw28%

Aluminij win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–012.9%
1–112.9%
0–09.5%
0–19.5%
2–08.7%

Why the model likes this

Dinamo Tirana home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Tirana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 28% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Dinamo Tirana and 1.00 for Aluminij, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Dinamo Tirana

2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Auda · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Auda · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Aluminij · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Astana · 4-1 (W)

Aluminij

2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nafta · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-02T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Olimpija Ljubljana · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tirana · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Tirana · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Maribor · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.