Elbasan Arena · Referee C. Vergetis · Analysis updated 21:37 UTC
Dinamo Tirana vs Auda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Dinamo Tirana and 1.75 for Auda, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Auda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Auda or Draw
66.3% probability
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Auda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Dinamo Tirana and 1.75 for Auda, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
Auda or Draw is the headline pick at 66% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Dinamo Tirana
Auda
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.