Elbasan Arena · Referee C. Vergetis · Analysis updated 22:19 UTC
Dinamo Tirana vs Auda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Dinamo Tirana and 1.18 for Auda, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Dinamo Tirana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Dinamo Tirana to Win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–17.5%
Why the model likes this
Dinamo Tirana home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Auda away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Tirana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 25% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.57 goals for Dinamo Tirana and 1.18 for Auda, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 1.98 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.50 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 3.30 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.70 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.80 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.36 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 9.00 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.65 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 2.05 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.30 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.20 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.75 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Dinamo Tirana
- 2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Auda · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Auda · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Aluminij · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Astana · 4-1 (W)
Auda
- 2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tirana · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FS Jelgava · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Tirana · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FCSB · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs BFC Daugavpils · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Tirana 4-0 Auda (UEFA Europa Conference League)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · Dinamo Tirana 0-1 Auda (UEFA Europa Conference League)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.