DVTK Stadion · Analysis updated 02:48 UTC
Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Diosgyori VTK and 0.99 for Ajka, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Diosgyori VTK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.
Model pick
Diosgyori VTK to Win
51.8% probability
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–07.4%
Why the model likes this
Ajka away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Diosgyori VTK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 25% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.61 goals for Diosgyori VTK and 0.99 for Ajka, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 1.75 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.40 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 3.95 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.85 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.75 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.17 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.20 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.95 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Diosgyori VTK
Ajka
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Karcag SE · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kecskeméti TE · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Csakvar · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · Diosgyori VTK 1-1 Ajka (NB II)
- 2023-02-12T14:00:00.000Z · Diosgyori VTK 1-0 Ajka (NB II)
- 2022-08-17T17:00:00.000Z · Diosgyori VTK 3-1 Ajka (NB II)
- 2022-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · Diosgyori VTK 0-0 Ajka (NB II)
- 2021-11-28T16:00:00.000Z · Diosgyori VTK 2-0 Ajka (NB II)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.