Ferizaj vs Dukagjini Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.99 expected goals for Ferizaj and 1.23 for Dukagjini, a combined total of 2.22. That distribution gives Dukagjini the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Dukagjini or Draw

70.3% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ferizaj win30%

Draw29%

Dukagjini win42%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

0–113.3%
1–113.2%
0–010.8%
1–010.8%
0–28.2%

Why the model likes this

Ferizaj home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dukagjini to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 30% / 29% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.99 goals for Ferizaj and 1.23 for Dukagjini, a combined 2.22 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% and both teams to score at 45%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Ferizaj

2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Llapi · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drenica Skënderaj · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina · 3-3 (D)
2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 1-1 (D)

Dukagjini

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Superliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Drita	36	20	6	10	15	66
2	Malisheva	36	18	5	13	8	59
3	Ballkani	36	17	7	12	20	58
4	Dukagjini	36	13	12	11	6	51
5	Gjilani	36	14	9	13	-1	51
6	Drenica Skënderaj	36	15	5	16	-9	50
7	Prishtina	36	13	10	13	1	49
8	Llapi	36	13	10	13	-4	49
9	Ferizaj	36	9	9	18	-15	36
10	Prishtina e Re	36	8	7	21	-21	31

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.