Fjolnir vs Haukar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.96 expected goals for Fjolnir and 2.47 for Haukar, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Haukar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Haukar to Win

49.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.96 – 2.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Fjolnir win31%

Draw19%

Haukar win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals82%

Over 3.5 goals64%

Both teams to score79%

Correct score

1–27.1%
2–27.0%
1–35.9%
1–15.8%
2–35.7%

Why the model likes this

Fjolnir home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haukar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 31% / 19% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.96 goals for Fjolnir and 2.47 for Haukar, a combined 4.43 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 79%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

Fjolnir

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Selfoss · 2-6 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs KFG · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-29T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Olafsiik · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-24T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Haukar · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Magni · 2-5 (L)

Haukar

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Deild table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	21	38
2	Selfoss	17	9	5	3	9	32
3	Kári	17	7	8	2	18	29
4	Fjolnir	17	7	4	6	4	25
5	Vikingur Olafsiik	17	7	4	6	-5	25
6	Kormákur / Hvöt	17	6	6	5	10	24
7	Dalvík / Reynir	17	6	3	8	-3	21
8	Magni	17	6	3	8	-12	21
9	Fjardabyggd / Leiknir	17	6	2	9	3	20
10	Thróttur Vogar	17	6	1	10	-5	19
11	Hvíti riddarinn	17	3	7	7	-11	16
12	KFG	17	4	1	12	-29	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.