FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for FK Jablonec and 1.70 for Rīgas FS, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Rīgas FS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Rīgas FS or Draw

67.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FK Jablonec win33%

Draw23%

Rīgas FS win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.6%
1–29.0%
2–17.7%
0–17.3%
2–26.5%

Why the model likes this

Rīgas FS away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rīgas FS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 33% / 23% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for FK Jablonec and 1.70 for Rīgas FS, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

FK Jablonec

Rīgas FS

2026-08-13T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Jablonec · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-10T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Grobiņa · 6-1 (W)
2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Jablonec · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Vestri · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Tukums · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.