· Analysis updated 01:51 UTC
GrIFK vs Ilves II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for GrIFK and 2.32 for Ilves II, a combined total of 3.66. That distribution gives Ilves II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.
Model pick
Ilves II to Win
59.3% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 2.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.3%
- 1–18.0%
- 1–37.2%
- 0–26.9%
- 2–26.2%
Why the model likes this
Ilves II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ilves II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 21% / 19% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for GrIFK and 2.32 for Ilves II, a combined 3.66 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
GrIFK
Ilves II
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-14T16:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 2-6 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2023-07-29T15:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 2-1 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2023-05-13T13:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 2-1 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2022-07-16T14:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 2-0 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2022-04-24T15:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-3 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2021-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-0 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2021-07-24T15:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 4-2 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2020-06-13T12:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 1-6 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2019-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 3-1 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2019-07-13T14:00:00.000Z · GrIFK 2-3 Ilves II (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.