GVVV Veenendaal vs DVS 33 Ermelo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for GVVV Veenendaal and 1.01 for DVS 33 Ermelo, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives GVVV Veenendaal the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

GVVV Veenendaal to Win

55.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.01

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

GVVV Veenendaal win56%

Draw23%

DVS 33 Ermelo win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–111.0%
1–010.9%
2–19.8%
2–09.7%
0–16.1%

Why the model likes this

DVS 33 Ermelo away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates GVVV Veenendaal to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 23% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.79 goals for GVVV Veenendaal and 1.01 for DVS 33 Ermelo, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

Market	Selection	Odds	Bookmaker
Match Result	Home	1.62	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	3.90	William Hill
Match Result	Away	4.20	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	1.36	William Hill
BTTS	No	2.90	William Hill
Double Chance	Home/Draw	1.20	William Hill
Double Chance	Home/Away	1.22	William Hill
Double Chance	Draw/Away	2.15	William Hill

Recent form

GVVV Veenendaal

DVS 33 Ermelo

2026-08-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs SC Genemuiden · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs GVVV Veenendaal · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rijnvogels · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rijnvogels · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Huizen · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 3-0 DVS 33 Ermelo (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 5-1 DVS 33 Ermelo (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-05-13T13:00:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 2-0 DVS 33 Ermelo (Derde Divisie)
2022-11-19T13:30:00.000Z · GVVV Veenendaal 3-2 DVS 33 Ermelo (Derde Divisie)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.