Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Bayern Süd - 1016:30

16:30 UTC

Friday, 11 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:09 UTC

Hankofen-Hailing vs Schalding-Heining Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Hankofen-Hailing and 1.13 for Schalding-Heining, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Hankofen-Hailing the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Hankofen-Hailing to Win

50.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hankofen-Hailing win50%
Draw24%
Schalding-Heining win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–16.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hankofen-Hailing to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 24% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for Hankofen-Hailing and 1.13 for Schalding-Heining, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Hankofen-Hailing to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Hankofen-Hailing

    Schalding-Heining

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.