Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Bayern Süd - 1016:30

16:30 UTC

Friday, 11 September 2026

· Analysis updated 08:04 UTC

Hankofen-Hailing vs Schalding-Heining Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Hankofen-Hailing and 1.13 for Schalding-Heining, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Hankofen-Hailing the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Hankofen-Hailing win

50.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hankofen-Hailing win50%
Draw24%
Schalding-Heining win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–16.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hankofen-Hailing to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 24% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for Hankofen-Hailing and 1.13 for Schalding-Heining, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    The headline pick is rated 50% with low confidence, from a data-quality score of 70/100 while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Hankofen-Hailing

    Schalding-Heining

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Oberliga - Bayern Süd table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Pipinsried55001515
      2Pfaffenhofen5311110
      3Landshut5311110
      41860 München II522178
      5Sportfreunde Schwaig522148
      6Erlbach522138
      7Gundelfingen522128
      8Hankofen-Hailing522108
      9Heimstetten521217
      10Deisenhofen5212-37
      111860 Rosenheim513146
      12Kirchanschöring5122-25
      13Schalding-Heining5122-25
      14TuS Geretsried5122-85
      15Ismaning5113-34
      161880 Wasserburg5113-64
      17Kottern5104-63
      18Schwabmünchen5014-81

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.