Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Hibernian and 2.00 for Heart Of Midlothian, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Heart Of Midlothian the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Heart Of Midlothian to Win

54.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.25 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hibernian win24%

Draw22%

Heart Of Midlothian win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–19.7%
1–29.7%
0–17.8%
0–27.8%
1–36.5%

Why the model likes this

Hibernian home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Heart Of Midlothian to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 24% / 22% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Hibernian and 2.00 for Heart Of Midlothian, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Hibernian

2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rangers · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Shkendija · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Motherwell · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 4-1 (W)

Heart Of Midlothian

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.