Chile · Primera División · Regular Season - 2220:00

20:00 UTC

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero · Analysis updated 23:45 UTC

Huachipato vs Colo Colo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Huachipato and 1.18 for Colo Colo, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Huachipato the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Huachipato or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Huachipato win44%
Draw26%
Colo Colo win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Huachipato to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Huachipato and 1.18 for Colo Colo, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Huachipato

    Colo Colo

      Head-to-head

      • 2026-06-07T19:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 1-0 Colo Colo (Copa De La Liga)
      • 2026-04-01T21:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 0-1 Colo Colo (Copa De La Liga)
      • 2026-03-16T23:30:00.000Z · Huachipato 0-2 Colo Colo (Primera División)
      • 2025-08-03T19:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 2-2 Colo Colo (Primera División)
      • 2025-03-02T15:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 2-1 Colo Colo (Primera División)
      • 2024-11-13T22:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 0-2 Colo Colo (Super Cup)
      • 2024-10-13T15:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 1-2 Colo Colo (Primera División)
      • 2024-03-03T21:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 0-2 Colo Colo (Primera División)
      • 2023-07-29T21:30:00.000Z · Huachipato 1-3 Colo Colo (Primera División)
      • 2023-04-01T15:00:00.000Z · Huachipato 0-1 Colo Colo (Primera División)

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.