Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Apertura - 822:15
HuracanWDLWL

31

Tuesday, 3 March 2026

Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco · Referee A. Penel · Analysis updated 07:10 UTC

Huracan vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.79 expected goals for Huracan and 0.79 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined total of 1.58. That distribution gives Huracan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 32%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 21% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 32% favourite still loses or draws roughly 68% of the time.

Model pick

Huracan or Draw

67.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.79 – 0.79

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Huracan win32%
Draw36%
Belgrano Cordoba win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

64%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals47%
Over 2.5 goals21%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams to score30%

Correct score

  • 0–020.6%
  • 0–116.3%
  • 1–016.3%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–26.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 32% / 36% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.79 goals for Huracan and 0.79 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined 1.58 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 21% and both teams to score at 30%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%.

  • Model confidence

    Huracan or Draw is the headline pick at 68% with medium confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Huracan

    Belgrano Cordoba

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Liga Profesional Argentina table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Estudiantes L.P.169431231
      2Boca Juniors168621330
      3Velez Sarsfield16772628
      4Talleres Cordoba16754426
      5Independiente16664424
      6Lanus16664324
      7San Lorenzo16574022
      8Union Santa Fe16565421
      9Instituto Cordoba16637021
      10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
      11Gimnasia M.16547-819
      12Platense16376-516
      13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
      14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
      15Deportivo Riestra16187-711
      1Independ. Rivadavia1610421434
      2River Plate169251029
      3Argentinos JRS16853429
      4Rosario Central16844428
      5Belgrano Cordoba16754426
      6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
      7Huracan16574422
      8Racing Club16565221
      9Barracas Central16565021
      10Tigre16484320
      11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
      12Banfield16538-218
      13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
      14Aldosivi16088-138
      15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195
      1Velez Sarsfield4310410
      2Instituto Cordoba430129
      3Newells Old Boys521217
      4Defensa Y Justicia4211-17
      5Estudiantes L.P.520326
      6Lanus420226
      7Deportivo Riestra520316
      8Independiente420216
      9Gimnasia M.420216
      10Central Cordoba de Santiago4202-16
      11Boca Juniors5131-26
      12San Lorenzo5203-26
      13Platense5122-45
      14Union Santa Fe5113-34
      15Talleres Cordoba4103-23
      1Argentinos JRS4400612
      2Belgrano Cordoba5311410
      3Barracas Central430119
      4Gimnasia L.P.5302-19
      5Tigre522128
      6Huracan421127
      7Rosario Central421117
      8Independ. Rivadavia5212-17
      9Banfield5212-17
      10Sarmiento Junin420206
      11Atletico Tucuman412115
      12Racing Club5113-34
      13Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto4112-34
      14Aldosivi5023-32
      15River Plate4004-40

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.