Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Apertura - 822:15
HuracanLLLWW

3 – 1

Tuesday, 3 March 2026

Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco · Referee A. Penel · Analysis updated 10:07 UTC

Huracan vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.63 expected goals for Huracan and 0.88 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined total of 1.50. That distribution gives Belgrano Cordoba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

75.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.63 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Huracan home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Belgrano Cordoba away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Belgrano Cordoba to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 25% / 36% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.63 goals for Huracan and 0.88 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined 1.50 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Huracan win25%
Draw36%
Belgrano Cordoba win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

64%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score27%

Correct score

  • 0–022.3%
  • 0–119.5%
  • 1–013.9%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–28.5%

Recent form

Huracan

  • 2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Rosario Central · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-15T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia L.P. · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · A vs River Plate · 2-1 (W)

Belgrano Cordoba

  • 2026-10-18T23:15:00.000Z · H vs River Plate · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T22:15:00.000Z · A vs Racing Club · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Talleres Cordoba · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Sarmiento Junin · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.169431231
2Boca Juniors168621330
3Velez Sarsfield16772628
4Talleres Cordoba16754426
5Independiente16664424
6Lanus16664324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711
1Independ. Rivadavia1610421434
2River Plate169251029
3Argentinos JRS16853429
4Rosario Central16844428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574422
8Racing Club16565221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195
1Instituto Cordoba139221029
2Defensa Y Justicia14833727
3Boca Juniors13661724
4Lanus14734724
5Velez Sarsfield13661524
6Newells Old Boys14563321
7Gimnasia M.14626120
8Independiente13544-119
9San Lorenzo14536-518
10Estudiantes L.P.13427114
11Union Santa Fe13427-414
12Platense14356-614
13Deportivo Riestra13265-312
14Central Cordoba de Santiago13247-710
15Talleres Cordoba14239-99
1Rosario Central148421128
2Argentinos JRS13742625
3Gimnasia L.P.14743325
4Belgrano Cordoba13643422
5Sarmiento Junin14635121
6River Plate13625520
7Barracas Central13544119
8Huracan14545-219
9Independ. Rivadavia13544-419
10Atletico Tucuman14455017
11Banfield14356-514
12Tigre14347-313
13Racing Club13337-612
14Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto13238-99
15Aldosivi13229-88

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 75.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 27% and over 2.5 goals at 19%.

A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.