Internacional vs Corinthians Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Internacional and 1.40 for Corinthians, a combined total of 2.23. That distribution gives Corinthians the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Corinthians to Win

50.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.82 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Internacional win22%

Draw27%

Corinthians win51%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

0–115.1%
1–112.5%
0–010.8%
0–210.6%
1–08.9%

Why the model likes this

Internacional home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Corinthians to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 22% / 27% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.82 goals for Internacional and 1.40 for Corinthians, a combined 2.23 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% and both teams to score at 42%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Internacional

2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Palmeiras · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-06T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Corinthians · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Corinthians · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-29T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Flamengo · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Paranaense · 0-2 (L)

Corinthians

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	23	14	6	3	21	48
2	Flamengo	21	12	6	3	21	42
3	Atletico Paranaense	23	12	5	6	11	41
4	Fluminense	23	10	8	5	6	38
5	Cruzeiro	22	9	6	7	-1	33
6	Bahia	22	8	9	5	4	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	9	5	8	4	32
8	Corinthians	22	8	8	6	4	32
9	Botafogo	21	8	6	7	2	30
10	Coritiba	22	8	6	8	-2	30
11	Atletico-MG	21	8	5	8	0	29
12	Sao Paulo	21	7	5	9	1	26
13	Vitoria	22	7	5	10	-11	26
14	Gremio	21	6	7	8	-3	25
15	Mirassol	21	6	5	10	-6	23
16	Internacional	22	5	8	9	-4	23
17	Santos	21	5	7	9	-6	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	21	5	7	9	-8	22
19	Remo	22	5	7	10	-10	22
20	Chapecoense-sc	21	1	7	13	-23	10

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.