Harjun Stadion · Analysis updated 01:45 UTC
JJK vs KPV-j Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.72 expected goals for JJK and 1.07 for KPV-j, a combined total of 4.79. That distribution gives JJK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws roughly 16% of the time.
Model pick
JJK to Win
84.0% probability
Expected goals
3.72 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.6%
- 3–07.1%
- 4–17.1%
- 4–06.6%
- 2–16.2%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates JJK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 10% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.72 goals for JJK and 1.07 for KPV-j, a combined 4.79 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 63%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
JJK to Win is the headline pick at 84% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
JJK
KPV-j
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkönen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 41 |
| 2 | Rops | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 |
| 3 | OLS | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | PKKU | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | SalPa | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | VJS | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | FC jazz | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | JJK | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | TPV | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | Inter Turku II | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -15 | 20 |
| 11 | KPV-j | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -40 | 12 |
| 12 | KuPS Akatemia | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -14 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.