Kidderminster Harriers vs Barrow Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.12 for Barrow, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Kidderminster Harriers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Kidderminster Harriers to Win

45.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kidderminster Harriers win46%

Draw26%

Barrow win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–112.3%
1–011.0%
2–19.1%
0–18.2%
2–08.2%

Why the model likes this

Kidderminster Harriers home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Barrow away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings.

Recent form

Kidderminster Harriers

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eastleigh · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AFC Hornchurch · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stourbridge · 5-0 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Alvechurch · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stratford Town · 5-0 (W)

Barrow

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Hornchurch · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartlepool · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Morecambe · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Blackpool · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-21T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Radcliffe · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2017-02-04T15:00:00.000Z · Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Barrow (FA Trophy)
2016-04-16T14:00:00.000Z · Kidderminster Harriers 0-0 Barrow (National League)
2015-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Barrow (National League)
2013-01-05T15:00:00.000Z · Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 Barrow (National League)
2012-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Barrow (National League)
2012-03-03T15:00:00.000Z · Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Barrow (National League)
2011-10-22T14:00:00.000Z · Kidderminster Harriers 1-3 Barrow (National League)

National League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Harrogate Town	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	AFC Hornchurch	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Sutton Utd	2	2	0	0	4	6
4	Southend	2	2	0	0	3	6
5	Hartlepool	2	2	0	0	3	6
6	Forest Green	2	2	0	0	2	6
7	Boreham Wood	2	1	1	0	2	4
8	AFC Fylde	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Gateshead	2	1	0	1	1	3
10	Boston United	2	1	0	1	1	3
11	Worthing	2	1	0	1	0	3
12	Eastleigh	2	1	0	1	0	3
13	Aldershot Town	2	1	0	1	0	3
14	Kidderminster Harriers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Yeovil Town	2	0	2	0	0	2
16	Tamworth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Carlisle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Scunthorpe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Wealdstone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	FC Halifax Town	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Altrincham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Barrow	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Solihull Moors	2	0	0	2	-5	0
24	Woking	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.