Aggborough Stadium · Analysis updated 00:24 UTC
Kidderminster Harriers vs Barrow Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.12 for Barrow, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Kidderminster Harriers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Kidderminster Harriers to Win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.12
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–08.2%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kidderminster Harriers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 26% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.49 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.12 for Barrow, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Kidderminster Harriers to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Kidderminster Harriers
Barrow
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster Harriers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | FC Halifax Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.