Franz Haas Stadion · Analysis updated 00:50 UTC
Leobendorf vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Leobendorf and 0.96 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives Leobendorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Leobendorf or Draw
72.6% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 0.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.6%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–010.5%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–08.8%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Leobendorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 28% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Leobendorf and 0.96 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Leobendorf or Draw is the headline pick at 73% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Leobendorf
Wiener Viktoria
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiener SC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Scheiblingkirchen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Oberwart | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Gloggnitz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Fach-Donaufeld | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Parndorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Leobendorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | SV Horn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Traiskirchen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiener Viktoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Favoritner AC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Krems / Rehberg | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Donau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 15 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.