Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 914:30

14:30 UTC

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Franz Haas Stadion · Analysis updated 01:51 UTC

Leobendorf vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Leobendorf and 1.04 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Leobendorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Leobendorf to Win

53.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Leobendorf win53%
Draw24%
Wiener Viktoria win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–16.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Leobendorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.71 goals for Leobendorf and 1.04 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

  • Model confidence

    Leobendorf to Win is the headline pick at 53% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Leobendorf

    Wiener Viktoria

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Regionalliga - Ost table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Wiener SC330069
      2Scheiblingkirchen321027
      3Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf320176
      4Oberwart320136
      5Gloggnitz320116
      6Fach-Donaufeld3201-16
      7Parndorf312055
      8Leobendorf312015
      9SV Horn311124
      10Traiskirchen311104
      11Wiener Viktoria310203
      12Favoritner AC3102-23
      13Krems / Rehberg3021-22
      14Donau3012-81
      15Mattersburg SV 20203003-50
      16Wienerberg3003-90

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.