Maritsa Milevo vs Levski Krumovgrad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.51 expected goals for Maritsa Milevo and 1.16 for Levski Krumovgrad, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Maritsa Milevo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Maritsa Milevo to Win

45.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.16

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Maritsa Milevo win45%

Draw26%

Levski Krumovgrad win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.5%
2–19.1%
0–18.1%
2–07.9%

Why the model likes this

Maritsa Milevo home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Levski Krumovgrad away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maritsa Milevo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 26% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.51 goals for Maritsa Milevo and 1.16 for Levski Krumovgrad, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Maritsa Milevo

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletik Kuklen · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dimitrovgrad · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Beroe · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Neftochimic Burgas · 2-2 (D)

Levski Krumovgrad

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dimitrovgrad · 4-3 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Levski Karlovo · 1-0 (W)
2025-05-25T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Septemvri Sofia · 1-2 (L)
2025-05-19T14:45:00.000Z · A vs CSKA 1948 · 0-2 (L)
2025-05-15T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Sofia · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.

Third League - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodopa Smolyan	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	Spartak Plovdiv	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Levski Krumovgrad	2	2	0	0	2	6
4	Maritsa Milevo	2	2	0	0	2	6
5	Yambol 1915	2	1	1	0	3	4
6	Sayana Haskovo	2	1	1	0	2	4
7	Botev Plovdiv II	1	1	0	0	2	3
8	Atletik Kuklen	2	1	0	1	1	3
9	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Rozova dolina	2	0	2	0	0	2
11	Neftochimic Burgas	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Sekirovo Rakovski	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Zagorets	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Maritsa Plovdiv	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Dimitrovgrad	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Gigant Saedinenie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sozopol	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Levski Karlovo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.