· Analysis updated 02:42 UTC
Maritsa Milevo vs Levski Krumovgrad Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.19 expected goals for Maritsa Milevo and 0.98 for Levski Krumovgrad, a combined total of 2.17. That distribution gives Maritsa Milevo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Maritsa Milevo or Draw
69.9% probability
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.6%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–111.2%
- 2–08.1%
Why the model likes this
Maritsa Milevo home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Levski Krumovgrad away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maritsa Milevo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 29% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.19 goals for Maritsa Milevo and 0.98 for Levski Krumovgrad, a combined 2.17 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
Maritsa Milevo
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletik Kuklen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dimitrovgrad · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Beroe · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Neftochimic Burgas · 2-2 (D)
Levski Krumovgrad
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dimitrovgrad · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Levski Karlovo · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-05-25T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Septemvri Sofia · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-05-19T14:45:00.000Z · A vs CSKA 1948 · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-05-15T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Sofia · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodopa Smolyan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Sayana Haskovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletik Kuklen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Plovdiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Levski Krumovgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Maritsa Milevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rozova dolina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Yambol 1915 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sozopol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gigant Saedinenie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Neftochimic Burgas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.