Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Group 1 - 218:30
MeyrinW

18:30 UTC

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:45 UTC

Meyrin vs Servette II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.44 expected goals for Meyrin and 1.37 for Servette II, a combined total of 3.81. That distribution gives Meyrin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Meyrin to Win

60.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.44 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Meyrin win61%
Draw19%
Servette II win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 2–26.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Meyrin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.44 goals for Meyrin and 1.37 for Servette II, a combined 3.81 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

  • Model confidence

    Meyrin to Win is the headline pick at 61% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Meyrin

    Servette II

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1La Chaux-de-Fonds220026
      2Sion II211024
      3Naters211014
      4Echallens211014
      5Prishtina Bern211014
      6Meyrin110043
      7Portalban / Gletterens210113
      8Lancy210103
      9Monthey202002
      10Servette II101001
      11Stade Payerne2011-11
      12Coffrane2011-11
      13Lausanne Sport II2011-21
      14Chênois2002-20
      15Azzurri1001-20
      16Vevey Sports1001-40

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.