Meyrin vs Servette II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Meyrin and 1.75 for Servette II, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Meyrin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Meyrin home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Servette II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Meyrin win44%

Draw21%

Servette II win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

1–18.2%
2–18.2%
1–27.2%
2–27.2%
3–15.5%

Recent form

Meyrin

2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Echallens · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs La Chaux-de-Fonds · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Monthey · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-0 (W)

Servette II

2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Chênois · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lausanne Sport II · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vevey Sports · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sion II · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-02-21T15:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-0 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2025-08-10T12:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-5 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2025-02-22T14:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 2-2 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2024-08-11T14:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 2-1 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2024-07-17T18:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-2 Servette II (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-04-23T14:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-4 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2022-11-02T19:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-3 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azzurri Bienne	11	9	0	2	16	27
2	Prishtina Bern	11	8	2	1	22	26
3	Servette II	11	6	4	1	3	22
4	Lausanne Sport II	11	4	5	2	7	17
5	Naters	11	5	2	4	-6	17
6	Sion II	11	4	4	3	1	16
7	Portalban / Gletterens	10	4	2	4	5	14
8	Monthey	10	3	5	2	2	14
9	Chênois	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Lancy	11	4	1	6	-2	13
11	La Chaux-de-Fonds	11	4	1	6	-15	13
12	Echallens	11	3	3	5	-10	12
13	Meyrin	11	3	2	6	2	11
14	Stade Payerne	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Coffrane	10	1	4	5	-4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	1	1	8	-13	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.