Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Group 1 - 218:30
MeyrinW

18:30 UTC

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:56 UTC

Meyrin vs Servette II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.44 expected goals for Meyrin and 1.37 for Servette II, a combined total of 3.81. That distribution gives Meyrin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Meyrin to Win

60.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.44 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Meyrin win61%
Draw19%
Servette II win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 2–26.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Servette II away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Meyrin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.44 goals for Meyrin and 1.37 for Servette II, a combined 3.81 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Meyrin

    Servette II

    • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Echallens · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-17T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-06-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Amical Saint-Prex · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-06-10T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Amical Saint-Prex · 1-4 (L)
    • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Taverne · 1-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-02-21T15:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-0 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
    • 2025-08-10T12:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-5 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
    • 2025-02-22T14:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 2-2 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
    • 2024-08-11T14:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 2-1 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
    • 2024-07-17T18:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-2 Servette II (Friendlies Clubs)
    • 2023-04-23T14:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-4 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
    • 2022-11-02T19:00:00.000Z · Meyrin 1-3 Servette II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)

    1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1La Chaux-de-Fonds220026
    2Sion II211024
    3Naters211014
    4Echallens211014
    5Prishtina Bern211014
    6Meyrin110043
    7Portalban / Gletterens210113
    8Lancy210103
    9Monthey202002
    10Servette II101001
    11Stade Payerne2011-11
    12Coffrane2011-11
    13Lausanne Sport II2011-21
    14Chênois2002-20
    15Azzurri1001-20
    16Vevey Sports1001-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.