Napoli U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Napoli U20 and 1.18 for Bologna U20, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Napoli U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Napoli U20 or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Napoli U20 win44%

Draw26%

Bologna U20 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Napoli U20 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bologna U20 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Napoli U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Napoli U20 and 1.18 for Bologna U20, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Napoli U20

2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Cagliari U20 · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Cagliari U20 · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lecce U20 · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hellas Verona U20 · 2-5 (L)
2026-04-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Internazionale U20 · 1-1 (D)

Bologna U20

2026-05-24T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Fiorentina U20 · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Roma U20 · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cremonese U20 · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cagliari U20 · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Internazionale U20 · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-04-18T11:00:00.000Z · Napoli U20 1-1 Bologna U20 (Campionato Primavera - 1)
2025-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · Napoli U20 1-2 Bologna U20 (Campionato Primavera - 1)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.