Goffertstadion · Analysis updated 21:55 UTC
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.62 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives NEC Nijmegen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
NEC Nijmegen or Draw
61.7% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.62
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.3%
Why the model likes this
NEC Nijmegen home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates NEC Nijmegen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.62 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined 3.24 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 2.48 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.85 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 2.48 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.14 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 5.50 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.48 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.60 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.20 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.65 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 3.70 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 5.5 | 6.50 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 5.5 | 1.10 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.40 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 2.65 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.50 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.22 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.50 | 10Bet |
Recent form
NEC Nijmegen
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Willem II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-11T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Telstar · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sevilla · 1-2 (L)
Bodo/Glimt
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.