Olimp Comrat vs Victoria Bardar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Olimp Comrat and 1.18 for Victoria Bardar, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Olimp Comrat the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Olimp Comrat or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Olimp Comrat win44%

Draw26%

Victoria Bardar win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Victoria Bardar away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Olimp Comrat to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Olimp Comrat and 1.18 for Victoria Bardar, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Olimp Comrat

Victoria Bardar

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Stăuceni · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Făleşti · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oguzsport · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FCM Ungheni · 2-4 (L)
2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Univer Comrat · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 3-4 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
2024-11-01T11:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 2-2 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
2024-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 0-4 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
2024-08-10T15:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 0-4 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
2022-04-08T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 1-2 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
2021-09-10T14:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 2-3 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
2021-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 4-1 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
2020-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 4-1 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.